Intelligence: US Intelligence community worldwide threat assessment

Unclassified statement for the record on the worldwide threat assessment of the US intelligence community for the senate select committee on intelligence.
This statement provides extensive detail about numerous state and nonstate actors, crosscutting political, economic, and military developments and transnational trends, all of which constitute our nation‟s strategic and tactical landscape. 

Although I believe that counterterrorism, counterproliferation, cybersecurity, and counterintelligence are at the immediate forefront of our security concerns, it is virtually impossible to rank—in terms of long-term importance—the numerous, potential threats to US national security.  The United States no longer faces—as in the Cold War—one dominant threat.  Rather, it is the multiplicity and interconnectedness of potential threats—and the actors behind them—that constitute our biggest challenge.

Indeed, even the four categories noted above are also inextricably linked, reflecting a quickly changing international environment of rising new powers, rapid diffusion of power to nonstate actors and ever greater access by individuals and small groups to lethal technologies.  We in the Intelligence Community believe it is our duty to work together as an integrated team to understand and master this complexity.  By providing better strategic and tactical intelligence, we can partner more effectively with other Government officials at home and abroad to protect our vital national interests.

You can find the document here:
http://www.dni.gov/testimonies/20120131_testimony_ata.pdf

The following topics are discussed in the document:
Terrorism
The CBRN Threat
Core Al-Qa’ida in Decline 
Leadership of the Global Jihad
The Threat from Homegrown Violent Extremists
The Threat from Iran

Proliferation
WMD Threats:  Iran and North Korea
Cyber Threats:  An Evolving and Strategic Concern
Major Trends
Outlook

Counterintelligence
Cyber-Enabled Espionage
Insider Threat
Espionage by China, Russia, and Iran

Mass Atrocities
Global Challenges
South Asia
Afghanistan
Resilient Insurgency 
Afghan Internal Capabilities
Status of the Afghan Drug Trade
Pakistan
India
Relations with Pakistan
Relations with Afghanistan
Relations with China

East Asia

North Korea
China
Internal Dynamics
People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Modernization
Taiwan

Near East:  Middle East and North Africa
Regional Implications of the Arab Spring
Libya
Tunisia
Yemen
Lebanon
Syria

Arab Spring and the Global Jihadist Movement
Iran
Iraq

Africa
Sudan and South Sudan
Somalia
Nigeria
Central Africa’s Great Lakes Region

Russia and Eurasia
Russia
Foreign Policy
Assessing the Russian Military
Central Asia and the Caucasus
Ukraine and Belarus

Europe
The Balkans
Turkey and the Kurdish Issue
Latin America and the Caribbean
Regional Dynamics
Mexico
Venezuela
Cuba
Haiti

Significant State and Nonstate Intelligence Threat
Transnational Organized Crime
Space

Economics
New Economic Shocks and Unresolved Financial Strains
Energy

Water Security
Health Threats and Natural Disaster
Conclusion

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Reza Rafati

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I am the founder of Cyberwarzone.com and I focus on sharing and collecting relevant cyberconflict news., The goal of Cyberwarzone is to provide the world a portal with global cyberwar information. The effort in getting this cyberwarfare information is hard. But as the internet is growing we need to get an global cyberwar & cybercrime monitoring system., By the people and for the people. We will be gathering information about Cybercrime, Cyberwarfare and hacking. LinkedIn: http://www.linkedin.com/pub/reza-rafati-%E2%99%82/1a/98b/197

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